۱۳ آبان ۱۴۰۴

Comprehensive Commodity Market Analysis of Steel, Mining, and Petrochemical Sectors in the First Half of 2025:
Price Fluctuations and Influencing Factors

According to Fatemeh Bagheri, editor-in-chief of Titrsanat, the latest commodity market report of Iran for Shahrivar 1404 (September 2025) analyzes key price changes across three major sectors: steel, mining, and petrochemicals.

This upward trend was also observed in galvanized steel sheets (up 6%) and medium rebar (up 3.2%), indicating strengthened demand in domestic construction and infrastructure projects, as well as in export markets.
In the mining sector, the price of iron concentrate recorded the highest monthly increase of 15%, which can be attributed to export policies and limited domestic supply.
Prices of sponge iron and iron pellets also rose by 4% and 1%, respectively, reflecting a relative stability in mining production.

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The price of copper cathode also rose by 3% month-on-month, influenced by global market trends and currency fluctuations.
In the petrochemical sector, Type-2 cement experienced a 1% price increase, while lube cut oil fell by 4% compared to the previous month — likely due to declining demand or volatility in global oil markets.
PVC and urea showed 5% decrease and 7% fluctuating increase, respectively, changes largely driven by global fertilizer market conditions and exchange rate variations.
Key factors influencing commodity market fluctuations include domestic and international supply and demand shifts, currency rates, export-import policies, production costs, and the overall economic situation both in Iran and worldwide.

The growth of construction projects and rising export demand, along with production constraints in certain mines and refineries and volatility in global mineral and oil markets, are among the main drivers of recent changes.

This report, based on monthly data from Shahrivar 1404 (September 2025) and its comparison with Mordad (August) and the average of the previous year, provides a comprehensive overview of the key commodity markets in the steel, mining, and petrochemical sectors. It serves as an important reference for economic policymakers and market participants.
Ultimately, continuous monitoring of market trends and regular analysis of influencing variables remain the key to better managing these strategic and sensitive markets in the coming years.

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